Barcelona Bvs
Náxara
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona B · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barcelona B 1-0 Náxara, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barcelona B 5-0 Náxara
Original prediction
Barcelona B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.23 | 73.0% | 56.5% | -16.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.83 | 18.6% | 24.8% | 6.2 pts |
| Away | 10.66 | 8.4% | 18.7% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Projected Score
Barcelona B 1–0 Náxara
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona B
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Barcelona B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Barcelona BWLWDW
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
NáxaraWLWLW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Barcelona BNáxara
50.0Attack22.5
50.0Defence41.2
50.0Form23.5
50.0Power31.7
1.80xG0.58