Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barbastro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barbastro 0-0 Utebo, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barbastro 1-1 Utebo
Original prediction
Barbastro
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.8% | 38.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.8% | 30.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.98 | 30.3% | 31.4% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Projected Score
Barbastro 0–0 Utebo
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Barbastro
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Barbastro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BarbastroDLDWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
UteboLWDDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
BarbastroUtebo
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
41.7Form41.7
50.3Power50.3
1.07xG0.91