Barbastrovs
Barcelona B
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/20/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona B · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barbastro 0-1 Barcelona B
Original prediction
Barcelona B
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.01 | 22.3% | 32.1% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.5% | 27.4% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.75 | 51.2% | 40.5% | -10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona B
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Barcelona B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00