Barau FCvs
Ranchers Bees
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/13/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barau FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barau FC 3-1 Ranchers Bees
Original prediction
Barau FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.5% | 45.4% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 28.0% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 6.44 | 14.0% | 26.6% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Barau FC
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Barau FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Barau FCDWWLW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Ranchers BeesWL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50
BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Barau FCRanchers Bees
50.0Attack83.3
83.3Defence50.0
66.7Form50.0
68.0Power57.3
1.29xG0.99