Barau FCvs
Enugu Rangers
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barau FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Barau FC 2-2 Enugu Rangers
Original prediction
Barau FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.9% | 40.2% | -10.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.8% | 29.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.46 | 20.3% | 30.7% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Barau FC
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Barau FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00