Barau FCvs
Abia Warriors
COMPLETEDNigeria · NPFL · 9/23/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barau FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Barau FC 1-0 Abia Warriors, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Barau FC 2-0 Abia Warriors
Original prediction
Barau FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.6% | 52.8% | -8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.6% | 26.9% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 7.02 | 12.8% | 20.2% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.8 pts
Projected Score
Barau FC 1–0 Abia Warriors
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Barau FC
Probability
52.8%
Model confidence
52.8%
Barau FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Barau FCDWDWW
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Abia WarriorsWDLDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Barau FCAbia Warriors
50.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence50.0
66.7Form41.7
68.0Power43.1
1.44xG0.70