Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barakaldo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Barakaldo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Juan are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Barakaldo hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (72.1 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.9% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2, while Barakaldo holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Barakaldo
Probability
72.9%
Model confidence
72.9%
Barakaldo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00