GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Copa Ecuador · 7/21/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Nacional · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Baños Ciudad de Fuego are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while El Nacional are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and El Nacional hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Copa Ecuador, while El Nacional holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

El Nacional

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

El Nacional has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Baños Ciudad de FuegoD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
El NacionalLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Baños Ciudad de FuegoEl Nacional
33.3Attack50.0
66.7Defence77.8
33.3Form77.8
48.3Power71.7
0.81xG1.20
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