Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bansko · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Bansko are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Belasitsa are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bansko hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 52.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Third League - Southwest, while Bansko holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bansko
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
10.4%
Bansko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40