Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:33
Baník Souš

Baník Souš

Home
L
11
Full time
Písek

Písek

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Písek33%
Baník Souš33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Baník Souš
33%
Draw
33%
Písek
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Baník Souš
9
Písek
73
Defence
Baník Souš
66
Písek
6
Momentum
Baník Souš
0
Písek
0
Danger (xG)
Baník Souš
0.00
Písek
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.10 xG for Baník Souš and 1.35 xG for Písek — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.26), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Baník Souš's Attack Score (73) exceeds Písek's Defensive Stability (66), and Písek's attack (9) similarly tests Baník Souš's defence (6). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.45 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Baník Souš)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Písek)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Baník Souš)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Písek)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Baník SoušBaník Souš
L
PísekPísek
LL

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Baník Souš33%
Draw33%
Písek33%

Písek leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Baník Souš vs Písek: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Baník Souš host Písek in Friendlies Clubs. Baník Souš have recorded WWWLLD in recent matches while Písek arrive with a run of WLWDDD. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 3 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Baník Souš

Baník Souš

L
vs Slavia III
15 May 2026
01
Písek

Písek

L
@ Viktoria Žižkov
17 Jul 2026
23
L
@ Arsenal Česká Lípa
16 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Baník Souš vs Písek?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Baník Souš vs Písek?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Baník Souš vs Písek?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Baník Souš vs Písek?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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