Baník Prievidzavs
Spartak Myjava
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 3. liga - West · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Myjava · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baník Prievidza 3-2 Spartak Myjava
Original prediction
Spartak Myjava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.17 | 28.1% | 29.9% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.8% | 23.9% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.2% | 46.2% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Myjava
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Spartak Myjava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60