Baník Ostravavs
Sparta Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (12%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baník Ostrava 0-0 Sparta Praha
Original prediction
Sparta Praha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.24 | 21.8% | 11.3% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.90 | 23.7% | 17.3% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 54.4% | 71.4% | 17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.90 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
71.4%
Model confidence
71.4%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00