Baník Ostravavs
Sigma Olomouc
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sigma Olomouc · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baník Ostrava 1-0 Sigma Olomouc
Original prediction
Sigma Olomouc
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.8% | 31.5% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.4% | 26.4% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.7% | 42.1% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Sigma Olomouc
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Sigma Olomouc has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40