Baník Ostravavs
Pardubice
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/13/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baník Ostrava · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baník Ostrava 1-2 Pardubice
Original prediction
Baník Ostrava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 47.2% | 42.3% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.6% | 27.5% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 26.2% | 30.2% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Baník Ostrava
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Baník Ostrava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20