Baník Ostravavs
Legia Warszawa
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/24/2025, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Baník Ostrava are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Legia Warszawa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40