Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikomvs
Zemplín Michalovce
COMPLETEDSlovakia · Cup · 10/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zemplín Michalovce · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 0-3 Zemplín Michalovce
Original prediction
Zemplín Michalovce
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.48 | 20.1% | 36.2% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.3% | 24.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 55.7% | 39.0% | -16.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Zemplín Michalovce
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Zemplín Michalovce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40