Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikomvs
Petržalka
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 10/24/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petržalka · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1-0 Petržalka
Original prediction
Petržalka
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 27.1% | 20.7% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.4% | 24.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.95 | 46.5% | 55.0% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–113%
- 2.0–213%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Petržalka
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Petržalka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60