Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikomvs
Žilina II
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1-0 Žilina II
Original prediction
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.3% | 41.4% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.97 | 22.9% | 27.5% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.8% | 31.0% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80