GGOALVIO

Slovakia · 2. liga · 9/26/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom 1-4 Galanta

Original prediction

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6355.6%56.0%0.4 pts
Draw3.8223.8%23.7%-0.0 pts
Away4.4120.6%20.2%-0.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Probability

56.0%

Model confidence

56.0%

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GalantaWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomGalanta
51.9Attack33.3
55.6Defence51.9
48.1Form48.1
54.3Power47.0
1.62xG0.84
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