GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 11/4/2023, 12:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baniyas SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baniyas SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Khorfakkan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Baniyas SC hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.7% in the Pro League, while Baniyas SC holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baniyas SC

Probability

44.7%

Model confidence

44.7%

Baniyas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Baniyas SCLWDLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
KhorfakkanWLDLL

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Baniyas SCKhorfakkan
43.1Attack45.3
38.9Defence30.7
33.3Form30.7
40.7Power38.0
1.97xG1.53
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