Baniyas SCvs
Al Wahda FC
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 10/1/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Baniyas SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Baniyas SC 3-1 Al Wahda FC
Original prediction
Baniyas SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.68 | 24.5% | 42.1% | 17.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.65 | 24.8% | 25.3% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 50.7% | 32.6% | -18.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Baniyas SC
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Baniyas SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80