GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 8/26/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Nasr · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baniyas SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Al Nasr are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Nasr hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Pro League, while Al Nasr holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Nasr

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Al Nasr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Baniyas SCLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al NasrLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Baniyas SCAl Nasr
43.1Attack66.7
38.9Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
40.7Power45.3
1.49xG1.83
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