GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 12/23/2023, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Ittihad Kalba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Baniyas SC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Ittihad Kalba hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (40.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Pro League, while Al-Ittihad Kalba holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Ittihad Kalba

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Al-Ittihad Kalba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Baniyas SCLLLWW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaLDWDL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Baniyas SCAl-Ittihad Kalba
43.1Attack66.7
38.9Defence33.3
33.3Form33.3
40.7Power45.3
1.49xG1.83
View match centre →