Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Larne · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Bangor 0-2 Larne, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bangor 1-2 Larne
Original prediction
Larne
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.52 | 12.0% | 15.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.62 | 19.6% | 20.1% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 1.32 | 68.4% | 64.8% | -3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Projected Score
Bangor 0–2 Larne
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Larne
Probability
64.8%
Model confidence
64.8%
Larne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BangorLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LarneLLWWW
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BangorLarne
27.8Attack66.7
33.3Defence70.4
16.7Form70.4
28.9Power69.5
0.50xG2.68