Bangorvs
Dungannon Swifts
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dungannon Swifts · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bangor 0-0 Dungannon Swifts
Original prediction
Dungannon Swifts
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 25.4% | 22.0% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.1% | 24.0% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.6% | 54.0% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.62 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Dungannon Swifts
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Dungannon Swifts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20