Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bangor are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Dundela are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bangor hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.0% in the Championship, while Bangor holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bangor
Probability
55.0%
Model confidence
55.0%
Bangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00