Bangorvs
Coleraine FC
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coleraine FC · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-3 (14%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bangor 2-3 Coleraine FC
Original prediction
Coleraine FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.14 | 9.0% | 14.3% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.08 | 14.9% | 18.6% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 1.19 | 76.1% | 67.1% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–314%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Coleraine FC
Probability
67.1%
Model confidence
67.1%
Coleraine FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40