Bangorvs
Carrick Rangers
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carrick Rangers · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bangor 0-4 Carrick Rangers
Original prediction
Carrick Rangers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.08 | 17.8% | 27.1% | 9.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.08 | 22.2% | 26.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.0% | 46.5% | -13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Carrick Rangers
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Carrick Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80