Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Bangor are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Ards are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 1.75 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bangor hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.7% in the Championship, while Bangor holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bangor
Probability
69.7%
Model confidence
69.7%
Bangor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.75/3.50