Bangor City 1876 FCvs
Rhyl
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/5/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangor City 1876 FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bangor City 1876 FC 2-2 Rhyl
Original prediction
Bangor City 1876 FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 57.8% | 54.8% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.12 | 22.0% | 21.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 4.49 | 20.2% | 23.3% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Bangor City 1876 FC
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Bangor City 1876 FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40