Bangor City 1876 FCvs
Buckley Town
COMPLETEDWales · FAW Championship · 9/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangor City 1876 FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bangor City 1876 FC 2-6 Buckley Town
Original prediction
Bangor City 1876 FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.7% | 65.1% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.2% | 17.1% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.2% | 17.8% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Bangor City 1876 FC
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Bangor City 1876 FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40