Bangkok Unitedvs
Sisaket United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangkok United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bangkok United 3-1 Sisaket United
Original prediction
Bangkok United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 66.0% | 56.0% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.06 | 22.0% | 24.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 7.50 | 11.9% | 19.4% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–014%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Bangkok United
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Bangkok United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40