Bangkok Unitedvs
Port FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 1 · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bangkok United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Bangkok United 0-2 Port FC
Original prediction
Bangkok United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.4% | 45.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.8% | 25.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.35 | 26.8% | 29.1% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Bangkok United
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Bangkok United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80