GGOALVIO

Thailand · Thai League 1 · 8/19/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bangkok United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Bangkok United are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Muangthong United are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Bangkok United hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (67.9 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the Thai League 1, while Bangkok United holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bangkok United

Probability

58.8%

Model confidence

58.8%

Bangkok United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Bangkok UnitedWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Muangthong UnitedLWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Bangkok UnitedMuangthong United
64.4Attack71.1
73.3Defence50.0
67.8Form57.8
67.9Power59.2
2.13xG1.03
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