BG Pathum Unitedvs
Buriram United
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BG Pathum United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
BG Pathum United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Buriram United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and BG Pathum United hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while BG Pathum United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BG Pathum United
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
BG Pathum United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00