Bangavs
TransINVEST Vilnius
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 9/14/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Banga 1-3 TransINVEST Vilnius
Original prediction
Banga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.4% | 42.3% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.5% | 27.8% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.0% | 29.9% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
Banga
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Banga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BangaLDDWL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TransINVEST VilniusLWDLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BangaTransINVEST Vilnius
45.2Attack53.6
70.2Defence59.5
52.4Form53.6
56.3Power56.1
1.17xG0.87