Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Banga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Panevėžys are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Banga hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (58.3 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the A Lyga, while Banga holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Banga
Probability
63.4%
Model confidence
63.4%
Banga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80