Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Banga 1-0 Panevėžys, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Banga 0-3 Panevėžys
Original prediction
Banga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 50.5% | 63.2% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.1% | 23.4% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.4% | 13.4% | -9.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Projected Score
Banga 1–0 Panevėžys
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Banga
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Banga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BangaDDWLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PanevėžysWLLWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
BangaPanevėžys
46.9Attack34.6
72.8Defence48.1
54.3Form39.5
58.3Power42.9
1.63xG0.49