Bangavs
Kauno Žalgiris
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 8/30/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Banga 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Banga 0-0 Kauno Žalgiris
Original prediction
Kauno Žalgiris
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.28 | 27.3% | 27.4% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.1% | 29.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 43.5% | 43.0% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.6 pts
Projected Score
Banga 0–0 Kauno Žalgiris
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BangaDWLWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kauno ŽalgirisWLDLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BangaKauno Žalgiris
48.7Attack65.3
71.8Defence76.4
55.1Form61.1
58.8Power66.0
0.77xG1.03