Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Banga 2-0 Šiauliai, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Banga 0-0 Šiauliai
Original prediction
Banga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 06:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.43 | 62.7% | 65.5% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 21.7% | 21.0% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 5.71 | 15.7% | 13.5% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Banga 2–0 Šiauliai
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Banga
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Banga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BangaLWLLD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ŠiauliaiLDLLL
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BangaŠiauliai
45.2Attack29.0
67.7Defence36.6
50.5Form22.6
54.9Power32.2
1.97xG0.48