Bangavs
Džiugas Telšiai
COMPLETEDLithuania · A Lyga · 9/19/2026, 11:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Banga 1-0 Džiugas Telšiai, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Banga 2-0 Džiugas Telšiai
Original prediction
Banga
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.6% | 48.4% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.4% | 27.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 26.9% | 24.3% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Projected Score
Banga 1–0 Džiugas Telšiai
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Banga
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
48.4%
Banga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BangaLLDDW
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Džiugas TelšiaiLDLLW
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BangaDžiugas Telšiai
44.8Attack44.8
67.8Defence56.3
50.6Form50.6
54.8Power52.1
1.26xG0.78