Banfieldvs
River Plate
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 8/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
River Plate · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Banfield 0-0 River Plate, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Banfield 2-3 River Plate
Original prediction
River Plate
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.34 | 17.7% | 22.0% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 27.6% | 31.1% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.72 | 54.8% | 46.9% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Projected Score
Banfield 0–0 River Plate
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
River Plate
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
River Plate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BanfieldLDWLD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
River PlateDDDWL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BanfieldRiver Plate
33.3Attack41.0
60.6Defence71.8
37.9Form51.3
46.0Power55.7
0.59xG0.92