Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Banfield are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Midland are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Banfield hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (71.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Copa Argentina, while Banfield holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Banfield
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
14.2%
Banfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40