Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lanus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Banfield 0-0 Lanus, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Banfield 1-1 Lanus
Original prediction
Lanus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.57 | 26.1% | 25.3% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 30.2% | 31.2% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 43.7% | 43.5% | -0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Projected Score
Banfield 0–0 Lanus
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Lanus
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Lanus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BanfieldLWDDD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LanusWWDWW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BanfieldLanus
35.6Attack37.8
56.3Defence71.1
35.6Form52.2
44.8Power54.8
0.64xG0.94