Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Banfield are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aldosivi are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Banfield hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20