GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 6/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Banfield Res. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sarmiento Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Banfield Res. hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.4% in the Reserve League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

31.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Banfield Res.LDLDW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento Res.LWLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Banfield Res.Sarmiento Res.
24.2Attack28.8
65.2Defence59.1
40.9Form36.4
46.1Power43.7
0.65xG0.54
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