Banfield Res.vs
Gimnasia La Plata Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Banfield Res. 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Res., with an exact score probability of 30%.
Prediction record
Final result
Banfield Res. 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 31.6% | 29.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.2% | 33.5% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.2% | 37.4% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Banfield Res. 0–0 Gimnasia La Plata Res.
Exact score probability: 30%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80