Banfield Res.vs
Atlético Tucumán Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Banfield Res. 0-0 Atlético Tucumán Res., with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Banfield Res. 1-1 Atlético Tucumán Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.1% | 34.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.7% | 32.0% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.2% | 33.5% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.02 · Draw 2.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Banfield Res. 0–0 Atlético Tucumán Res.
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
34.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20