Bandırmasporvs
Sivasspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 10/13/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bandırmaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bandırmaspor 1-0 Sivasspor, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bandırmaspor 1-1 Sivasspor
Original prediction
Bandırmaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.5% | 43.5% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 29.2% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.0% | 27.3% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Projected Score
Bandırmaspor 1–0 Sivasspor
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Bandırmaspor
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Bandırmaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BandırmasporWLDWL
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
SivassporWDDWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
BandırmasporSivasspor
51.9Attack48.1
81.5Defence55.6
48.1Form40.7
58.3Power49.6
1.51xG0.72