Bandırmasporvs
Ümraniyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bandırmaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Bandırmaspor 1-0 Ümraniyespor, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Bandırmaspor 0-1 Ümraniyespor
Original prediction
Bandırmaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 51.0% | 59.3% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.2% | 24.4% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.7% | 16.3% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Projected Score
Bandırmaspor 1–0 Ümraniyespor
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Bandırmaspor
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
59.3%
Bandırmaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BandırmasporDWLDD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ÜmraniyesporLLLDD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BandırmasporÜmraniyespor
57.1Attack23.8
81.0Defence57.1
47.6Form14.3
59.0Power35.0
1.66xG0.53